Current forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS points to Moscow highs of 20–21°C on August 20, driven by moderate Atlantic air advection, increasing mid-level cloud cover, and light variable winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where solar insolation has declined from peak values and typical August precipitation patterns introduce variability. Recent model runs show minor spread due to uncertainties in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities split between 19–22°C outcomes. Traders monitor updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window, as any shift in steering flow or clearing skies could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日莫斯科最高气温？
8月20日莫斯科最高气温？
20°C 36%
21°C 29%
19°C 19%
22°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
19%
20°C
36%
21°C
29%
22°C
13%
23°C
8%
24°C
7%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
2%
20°C 36%
21°C 29%
19°C 19%
22°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
16°C or below
$15 交易量
2%
17°C
$238 交易量
2%
18°C
$216 交易量
3%
19°C
$15 交易量
19%
20°C
$11 交易量
36%
21°C
$0 交易量
29%
22°C
$26 交易量
13%
23°C
$15 交易量
8%
24°C
$15 交易量
7%
25°C
$10 交易量
6%
26°C or higher
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS points to Moscow highs of 20–21°C on August 20, driven by moderate Atlantic air advection, increasing mid-level cloud cover, and light variable winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where solar insolation has declined from peak values and typical August precipitation patterns introduce variability. Recent model runs show minor spread due to uncertainties in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities split between 19–22°C outcomes. Traders monitor updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window, as any shift in steering flow or clearing skies could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$571结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS points to Moscow highs of 20–21°C on August 20, driven by moderate Atlantic air advection, increasing mid-level cloud cover, and light variable winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where solar insolation has declined from peak values and typical August precipitation patterns introduce variability. Recent model runs show minor spread due to uncertainties in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities split between 19–22°C outcomes. Traders monitor updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window, as any shift in steering flow or clearing skies could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$571结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS points to Moscow highs of 20–21°C on August 20, driven by moderate Atlantic air advection, increasing mid-level cloud cover, and light variable winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where solar insolation has declined from peak values and typical August precipitation patterns introduce variability. Recent model runs show minor spread due to uncertainties in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities split between 19–22°C outcomes. Traders monitor updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window, as any shift in steering flow or clearing skies could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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