Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C for Chengdu’s August 20 maximum because short-range ensemble forecasts show modest spread driven by variable monsoon moisture and afternoon convection across the Sichuan Basin. Typical late-summer conditions feature high humidity and scattered showers that cap daytime heating, while occasional clearer intervals allow temperatures to reach the low 30s; historical August averages near 30–32°C provide context but do not resolve the narrow daily outcome. Upcoming CMA and ECMWF model runs, plus satellite updates on cloud trends, will likely tighten probabilities as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日成都气温最高？
8月20日成都气温最高？
30°C 29%
29°C 22%
31°C 19%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C
22%
30°C
29%
31°C
19%
32°C
11%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 29%
29°C 22%
31°C 19%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
24°C or below
$126 交易量
<1%
25°C
$373 交易量
3%
26°C
$24 交易量
8%
27°C
$37 交易量
8%
28°C
$8 交易量
10%
29°C
$23 交易量
22%
30°C
$0 交易量
29%
31°C
$5 交易量
19%
32°C
$1 交易量
11%
33°C
$80 交易量
6%
34°C or higher
$10 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C for Chengdu’s August 20 maximum because short-range ensemble forecasts show modest spread driven by variable monsoon moisture and afternoon convection across the Sichuan Basin. Typical late-summer conditions feature high humidity and scattered showers that cap daytime heating, while occasional clearer intervals allow temperatures to reach the low 30s; historical August averages near 30–32°C provide context but do not resolve the narrow daily outcome. Upcoming CMA and ECMWF model runs, plus satellite updates on cloud trends, will likely tighten probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$688结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C for Chengdu’s August 20 maximum because short-range ensemble forecasts show modest spread driven by variable monsoon moisture and afternoon convection across the Sichuan Basin. Typical late-summer conditions feature high humidity and scattered showers that cap daytime heating, while occasional clearer intervals allow temperatures to reach the low 30s; historical August averages near 30–32°C provide context but do not resolve the narrow daily outcome. Upcoming CMA and ECMWF model runs, plus satellite updates on cloud trends, will likely tighten probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$688结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C for Chengdu’s August 20 maximum because short-range ensemble forecasts show modest spread driven by variable monsoon moisture and afternoon convection across the Sichuan Basin. Typical late-summer conditions feature high humidity and scattered showers that cap daytime heating, while occasional clearer intervals allow temperatures to reach the low 30s; historical August averages near 30–32°C provide context but do not resolve the narrow daily outcome. Upcoming CMA and ECMWF model runs, plus satellite updates on cloud trends, will likely tighten probabilities as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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