Forecast models for Guangzhou on August 20 show considerable spread in expected maximum temperatures due to uncertain cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering flow from the East Asian monsoon, keeping trader-implied odds tightly matched between 35°C and 36°C at 25.5% each. August climatology places the long-term average high near 33°C, with recent mid-month observations running 33–35°C under partly cloudy, humid conditions that can either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on timing of convection. Ensemble guidance from global and regional models diverges on boundary-layer moisture and afternoon thunderstorm potential, directly influencing whether peaks reach the upper 30s or remain capped. Updated short-range runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日广州气温最高？
8月20日广州气温最高？
36°C 26%
35°C 25%
37°C 17%
34°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
12%
33°C
11%
34°C
15%
35°C
25%
36°C
26%
37°C
17%
38°C
11%
39°C或以上
1%
36°C 26%
35°C 25%
37°C 17%
34°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
29°C或以下
$186 交易量
<1%
30°C
$191 交易量
<1%
31°C
$41 交易量
<1%
32°C
$37 交易量
12%
33°C
$3 交易量
11%
34°C
$23 交易量
15%
35°C
$0 交易量
25%
36°C
$0 交易量
26%
37°C
$6 交易量
17%
38°C
$9 交易量
11%
39°C或以上
$17 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Guangzhou on August 20 show considerable spread in expected maximum temperatures due to uncertain cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering flow from the East Asian monsoon, keeping trader-implied odds tightly matched between 35°C and 36°C at 25.5% each. August climatology places the long-term average high near 33°C, with recent mid-month observations running 33–35°C under partly cloudy, humid conditions that can either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on timing of convection. Ensemble guidance from global and regional models diverges on boundary-layer moisture and afternoon thunderstorm potential, directly influencing whether peaks reach the upper 30s or remain capped. Updated short-range runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$513结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Guangzhou on August 20 show considerable spread in expected maximum temperatures due to uncertain cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering flow from the East Asian monsoon, keeping trader-implied odds tightly matched between 35°C and 36°C at 25.5% each. August climatology places the long-term average high near 33°C, with recent mid-month observations running 33–35°C under partly cloudy, humid conditions that can either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on timing of convection. Ensemble guidance from global and regional models diverges on boundary-layer moisture and afternoon thunderstorm potential, directly influencing whether peaks reach the upper 30s or remain capped. Updated short-range runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$513结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models for Guangzhou on August 20 show considerable spread in expected maximum temperatures due to uncertain cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering flow from the East Asian monsoon, keeping trader-implied odds tightly matched between 35°C and 36°C at 25.5% each. August climatology places the long-term average high near 33°C, with recent mid-month observations running 33–35°C under partly cloudy, humid conditions that can either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on timing of convection. Ensemble guidance from global and regional models diverges on boundary-layer moisture and afternoon thunderstorm potential, directly influencing whether peaks reach the upper 30s or remain capped. Updated short-range runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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