Recent extreme heat across North Texas, with Dallas reaching 106°F on August 17 under a strong high-pressure ridge, has anchored trader consensus on 104-105°F as the most probable high for August 20. National Weather Service forecasts call for continued sunny, hot conditions with highs near 105°F and minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress temperatures. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that bin, while lower odds on 106-107°F or higher reflect limited model support for further intensification before any potential weakening of the ridge. Official observations and short-range guidance from NOAA emphasize persistent above-normal warmth without significant cooling mechanisms through the period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日达拉斯的最高温度？
8月20日达拉斯的最高温度？
104-105°F 55%
106-107°F 26%
102-103°F 12%
108-109°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
55%
106-107°F
26%
108-109°F
9%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
3%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 55%
106-107°F 26%
102-103°F 12%
108-109°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
99°F or below
$9 交易量
1%
100-101°F
$234 交易量
2%
102-103°F
$472 交易量
12%
104-105°F
$158 交易量
55%
106-107°F
$82 交易量
26%
108-109°F
$63 交易量
9%
110-111°F
$109 交易量
2%
112-113°F
$36 交易量
3%
114-115°F
$240 交易量
<1%
116-117°F
$375 交易量
<1%
118°F or higher
$198 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent extreme heat across North Texas, with Dallas reaching 106°F on August 17 under a strong high-pressure ridge, has anchored trader consensus on 104-105°F as the most probable high for August 20. National Weather Service forecasts call for continued sunny, hot conditions with highs near 105°F and minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress temperatures. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that bin, while lower odds on 106-107°F or higher reflect limited model support for further intensification before any potential weakening of the ridge. Official observations and short-range guidance from NOAA emphasize persistent above-normal warmth without significant cooling mechanisms through the period.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,975结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent extreme heat across North Texas, with Dallas reaching 106°F on August 17 under a strong high-pressure ridge, has anchored trader consensus on 104-105°F as the most probable high for August 20. National Weather Service forecasts call for continued sunny, hot conditions with highs near 105°F and minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress temperatures. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that bin, while lower odds on 106-107°F or higher reflect limited model support for further intensification before any potential weakening of the ridge. Official observations and short-range guidance from NOAA emphasize persistent above-normal warmth without significant cooling mechanisms through the period.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,975结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETRecent extreme heat across North Texas, with Dallas reaching 106°F on August 17 under a strong high-pressure ridge, has anchored trader consensus on 104-105°F as the most probable high for August 20. National Weather Service forecasts call for continued sunny, hot conditions with highs near 105°F and minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress temperatures. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that bin, while lower odds on 106-107°F or higher reflect limited model support for further intensification before any potential weakening of the ridge. Official observations and short-range guidance from NOAA emphasize persistent above-normal warmth without significant cooling mechanisms through the period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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