Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 20 project a daytime maximum near 22°C with an overnight minimum of 13°C under sunny intervals and a gentle westerly breeze, following a period of above-average warmth earlier in the month. Trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C as the leading outcomes reflects London’s urban heat island effect, which typically elevates minimum temperatures 1–2°C above rural model guidance, combined with expected cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only modest downside risk to 14°C if clearer skies develop. Historical August climatology places average London lows near 14–15°C, providing additional context for the current market-implied probabilities. Updated Met Office guidance and observational data releases tomorrow morning represent the next key inputs likely to influence positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日伦敦最低气温？
8月20日伦敦最低气温？
15°C 51%
16°C 39%
14°C 9%
17°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
9%
15°C
51%
16°C
39%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
15°C 51%
16°C 39%
14°C 9%
17°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
10°C或以下
$57 交易量
1%
11°C
$57 交易量
1%
12°C
$163 交易量
1%
13°C
$169 交易量
3%
14°C
$52 交易量
9%
15°C
$853 交易量
51%
16°C
$169 交易量
39%
17°C
$370 交易量
6%
18°C
$200 交易量
1%
19°C
$227 交易量
<1%
20°C或以上
$266 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 20 project a daytime maximum near 22°C with an overnight minimum of 13°C under sunny intervals and a gentle westerly breeze, following a period of above-average warmth earlier in the month. Trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C as the leading outcomes reflects London’s urban heat island effect, which typically elevates minimum temperatures 1–2°C above rural model guidance, combined with expected cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only modest downside risk to 14°C if clearer skies develop. Historical August climatology places average London lows near 14–15°C, providing additional context for the current market-implied probabilities. Updated Met Office guidance and observational data releases tomorrow morning represent the next key inputs likely to influence positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$2,584结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 20 project a daytime maximum near 22°C with an overnight minimum of 13°C under sunny intervals and a gentle westerly breeze, following a period of above-average warmth earlier in the month. Trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C as the leading outcomes reflects London’s urban heat island effect, which typically elevates minimum temperatures 1–2°C above rural model guidance, combined with expected cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only modest downside risk to 14°C if clearer skies develop. Historical August climatology places average London lows near 14–15°C, providing additional context for the current market-implied probabilities. Updated Met Office guidance and observational data releases tomorrow morning represent the next key inputs likely to influence positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,584结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 20 project a daytime maximum near 22°C with an overnight minimum of 13°C under sunny intervals and a gentle westerly breeze, following a period of above-average warmth earlier in the month. Trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C as the leading outcomes reflects London’s urban heat island effect, which typically elevates minimum temperatures 1–2°C above rural model guidance, combined with expected cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only modest downside risk to 14°C if clearer skies develop. Historical August climatology places average London lows near 14–15°C, providing additional context for the current market-implied probabilities. Updated Met Office guidance and observational data releases tomorrow morning represent the next key inputs likely to influence positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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