Trader consensus heavily favors a 14°C minimum in London on August 21 due to forecast model agreement and August climatology, where typical overnight lows hover near that mark under average conditions. Recent synoptic developments, including the clearance of thundery showers and establishment of clearer skies with moderate northerly flow, support radiative cooling to around 11–14°C overnight without extreme drops, as confirmed by Met Office and AccuWeather guidance showing minimums near 11–12°C but tempered by London’s urban heat island effect. Official resolution criteria focus on verified station data, aligning with historical baselines rather than outlier model runs. A stronger high-pressure setup or lighter winds could push readings below 13°C, while persistent cloud or southerly advection would favor slightly higher values.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日伦敦最低气温？
8月21日伦敦最低气温？
14°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$13,952 交易量
$13,952 交易量
2026-08-21
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
14°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$13,952 交易量
$13,952 交易量
2026-08-21
8°C或以下
$1,253 交易量
否
9°C
$110 交易量
否
10°C
$403 交易量
否
11°C
$296 交易量
否
12°C
$754 交易量
否
13°C
$2,065 交易量
否
14°C
$2,547 交易量
是
15°C
$1,669 交易量
否
16°C
$1,659 交易量
否
17°C
$1,677 交易量
否
18°C或更高
$1,519 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 14°C minimum in London on August 21 due to forecast model agreement and August climatology, where typical overnight lows hover near that mark under average conditions. Recent synoptic developments, including the clearance of thundery showers and establishment of clearer skies with moderate northerly flow, support radiative cooling to around 11–14°C overnight without extreme drops, as confirmed by Met Office and AccuWeather guidance showing minimums near 11–12°C but tempered by London’s urban heat island effect. Official resolution criteria focus on verified station data, aligning with historical baselines rather than outlier model runs. A stronger high-pressure setup or lighter winds could push readings below 13°C, while persistent cloud or southerly advection would favor slightly higher values.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$13,952结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 14°C minimum in London on August 21 due to forecast model agreement and August climatology, where typical overnight lows hover near that mark under average conditions. Recent synoptic developments, including the clearance of thundery showers and establishment of clearer skies with moderate northerly flow, support radiative cooling to around 11–14°C overnight without extreme drops, as confirmed by Met Office and AccuWeather guidance showing minimums near 11–12°C but tempered by London’s urban heat island effect. Official resolution criteria focus on verified station data, aligning with historical baselines rather than outlier model runs. A stronger high-pressure setup or lighter winds could push readings below 13°C, while persistent cloud or southerly advection would favor slightly higher values.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,952结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus heavily favors a 14°C minimum in London on August 21 due to forecast model agreement and August climatology, where typical overnight lows hover near that mark under average conditions. Recent synoptic developments, including the clearance of thundery showers and establishment of clearer skies with moderate northerly flow, support radiative cooling to around 11–14°C overnight without extreme drops, as confirmed by Met Office and AccuWeather guidance showing minimums near 11–12°C but tempered by London’s urban heat island effect. Official resolution criteria focus on verified station data, aligning with historical baselines rather than outlier model runs. A stronger high-pressure setup or lighter winds could push readings below 13°C, while persistent cloud or southerly advection would favor slightly higher values.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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