Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 29, 2026, point to a daily minimum near 17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and showers, and a mild southwesterly airflow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions keep overnight temperatures elevated compared to clearer, calmer scenarios that could dip toward 16°C or below. Model consensus shows only modest variation in clearing timing and wind strength, producing the near-even split between 17°C and 18°C outcomes in trader sentiment while assigning lower probability to 16°C. Historical August averages and current sea-surface temperatures provide additional context favoring mild readings. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine these thresholds as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日伦敦最低气温?
16°C 3.6%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C或以下 <1%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
45%
18°C
45%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
16°C 3.6%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C或以下 <1%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
45%
18°C
45%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 29, 2026, point to a daily minimum near 17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and showers, and a mild southwesterly airflow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions keep overnight temperatures elevated compared to clearer, calmer scenarios that could dip toward 16°C or below. Model consensus shows only modest variation in clearing timing and wind strength, producing the near-even split between 17°C and 18°C outcomes in trader sentiment while assigning lower probability to 16°C. Historical August averages and current sea-surface temperatures provide additional context favoring mild readings. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine these thresholds as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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