Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows for Chicago on August 31 in the mid- to upper 70s under partly cloudy skies and continued southerly flow. This pattern limits nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf region, keeping minimum temperatures well above seasonal norms near 68°F. Traders split near-even on sub-65°F versus 84°F+ extremes because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or a late frontal passage could shift the low by several degrees, with ensemble spreads highlighting this sensitivity. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and evening model runs will refine the resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月31日最低气温?
84°F或更高 89%
65°F或以下 86%
66-67华氏度 50%
68-69°F 50%
65°F或以下
86%
66-67华氏度
50%
68-69°F
50%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
50%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
50%
84°F或更高
89%
84°F或更高 89%
65°F或以下 86%
66-67华氏度 50%
68-69°F 50%
65°F或以下
86%
66-67华氏度
50%
68-69°F
50%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
50%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
50%
84°F或更高
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows for Chicago on August 31 in the mid- to upper 70s under partly cloudy skies and continued southerly flow. This pattern limits nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf region, keeping minimum temperatures well above seasonal norms near 68°F. Traders split near-even on sub-65°F versus 84°F+ extremes because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or a late frontal passage could shift the low by several degrees, with ensemble spreads highlighting this sensitivity. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and evening model runs will refine the resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题