Recent weather model consensus from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and international forecasters points to a high of 26–28°C in Tokyo on August 29, driven by a shift to overcast skies, widespread rain (50–70% probability), and northeasterly winds that reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with the late-August climatological normal of ~30–31°C highs, suppressing peak temperatures by several degrees as a mid-latitude frontal system or enhanced monsoon moisture advects cooler marine air. Current observations on August 28 show daytime readings near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, but rapid model agreement on persistent cloud cover and precipitation through the 29th has anchored trader sentiment around the 27°C outcome (40% implied probability). Resolution hinges on official Japan Meteorological Agency maximum readings; any break in cloud cover could push values toward 29°C, while heavier rainfall would favor 26°C or below.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日东京气温最高？
8月29日东京气温最高？
27°C 42%
28°C 25%
26°C 16%
25°C 6%
最新
$13,893 交易量
最新
$13,893 交易量
2026-08-29
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
42%
28°C
25%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 25%
26°C 16%
25°C 6%
最新
$13,893 交易量
最新
$13,893 交易量
2026-08-29
22°C or below
$1,251 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,191 交易量
<1%
24°C
$622 交易量
1%
25°C
$638 交易量
6%
26°C
$2,813 交易量
16%
27°C
$1,504 交易量
42%
28°C
$2,355 交易量
25%
29°C
$1,734 交易量
6%
30°C
$1,144 交易量
3%
31°C
$161 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$482 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and international forecasters points to a high of 26–28°C in Tokyo on August 29, driven by a shift to overcast skies, widespread rain (50–70% probability), and northeasterly winds that reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with the late-August climatological normal of ~30–31°C highs, suppressing peak temperatures by several degrees as a mid-latitude frontal system or enhanced monsoon moisture advects cooler marine air. Current observations on August 28 show daytime readings near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, but rapid model agreement on persistent cloud cover and precipitation through the 29th has anchored trader sentiment around the 27°C outcome (40% implied probability). Resolution hinges on official Japan Meteorological Agency maximum readings; any break in cloud cover could push values toward 29°C, while heavier rainfall would favor 26°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$13,893结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and international forecasters points to a high of 26–28°C in Tokyo on August 29, driven by a shift to overcast skies, widespread rain (50–70% probability), and northeasterly winds that reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with the late-August climatological normal of ~30–31°C highs, suppressing peak temperatures by several degrees as a mid-latitude frontal system or enhanced monsoon moisture advects cooler marine air. Current observations on August 28 show daytime readings near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, but rapid model agreement on persistent cloud cover and precipitation through the 29th has anchored trader sentiment around the 27°C outcome (40% implied probability). Resolution hinges on official Japan Meteorological Agency maximum readings; any break in cloud cover could push values toward 29°C, while heavier rainfall would favor 26°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,893结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent weather model consensus from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and international forecasters points to a high of 26–28°C in Tokyo on August 29, driven by a shift to overcast skies, widespread rain (50–70% probability), and northeasterly winds that reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with the late-August climatological normal of ~30–31°C highs, suppressing peak temperatures by several degrees as a mid-latitude frontal system or enhanced monsoon moisture advects cooler marine air. Current observations on August 28 show daytime readings near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, but rapid model agreement on persistent cloud cover and precipitation through the 29th has anchored trader sentiment around the 27°C outcome (40% implied probability). Resolution hinges on official Japan Meteorological Agency maximum readings; any break in cloud cover could push values toward 29°C, while heavier rainfall would favor 26°C or below.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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