Recent numerical weather prediction runs from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a daytime high near 30°C in Seoul and Incheon on August 28, driven by persistent overcast skies, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that limits surface heating. Cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms suppress peak temperatures by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while weak pressure gradients prevent strong mixing that could otherwise elevate readings. Model consensus clusters around 29–31°C, with small differences arising from variations in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any rain, and boundary-layer moisture profiles; historical late-August climatology supports highs in this narrow range under similar synoptic conditions. Market-implied odds reflect this tight scientific spread, with traders weighting the most likely outcomes based on the latest model guidance ahead of final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
30°C 36%
31°C 27%
29°C 23%
28°C 8%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
23%
30°C
36%
31°C
27%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
30°C 36%
31°C 27%
29°C 23%
28°C 8%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
23%
30°C
36%
31°C
27%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction runs from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a daytime high near 30°C in Seoul and Incheon on August 28, driven by persistent overcast skies, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that limits surface heating. Cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms suppress peak temperatures by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while weak pressure gradients prevent strong mixing that could otherwise elevate readings. Model consensus clusters around 29–31°C, with small differences arising from variations in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any rain, and boundary-layer moisture profiles; historical late-August climatology supports highs in this narrow range under similar synoptic conditions. Market-implied odds reflect this tight scientific spread, with traders weighting the most likely outcomes based on the latest model guidance ahead of final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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