Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models (ECMWF, GFS) anchor trader sentiment around a 29–31°C peak for Incheon on August 27, with 30°C leading at 36.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology features seasonal cooling from early-month heatwave conditions, with typical diurnal maxima supported by moderate insolation, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow within 48 hours of the date, concentrating probability on adjacent brackets while the 32°C+ tail stays under 5% absent strong high-pressure amplification. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will determine whether subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns push the observed high across the 30–31°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月27日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
30°C 37%
29°C 29%
31°C 20%
28°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
11%
29°C
29%
30°C
37%
31°C
20%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 37%
29°C 29%
31°C 20%
28°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
23°C or below
$361 交易量
<1%
24°C
$361 交易量
<1%
25°C
$361 交易量
<1%
26°C
$145 交易量
1%
27°C
$103 交易量
2%
28°C
$103 交易量
11%
29°C
$495 交易量
29%
30°C
$176 交易量
37%
31°C
$377 交易量
20%
32°C
$81 交易量
5%
33°C or higher
$745 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models (ECMWF, GFS) anchor trader sentiment around a 29–31°C peak for Incheon on August 27, with 30°C leading at 36.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology features seasonal cooling from early-month heatwave conditions, with typical diurnal maxima supported by moderate insolation, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow within 48 hours of the date, concentrating probability on adjacent brackets while the 32°C+ tail stays under 5% absent strong high-pressure amplification. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will determine whether subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns push the observed high across the 30–31°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,255结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models (ECMWF, GFS) anchor trader sentiment around a 29–31°C peak for Incheon on August 27, with 30°C leading at 36.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology features seasonal cooling from early-month heatwave conditions, with typical diurnal maxima supported by moderate insolation, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow within 48 hours of the date, concentrating probability on adjacent brackets while the 32°C+ tail stays under 5% absent strong high-pressure amplification. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will determine whether subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns push the observed high across the 30–31°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,255结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models (ECMWF, GFS) anchor trader sentiment around a 29–31°C peak for Incheon on August 27, with 30°C leading at 36.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology features seasonal cooling from early-month heatwave conditions, with typical diurnal maxima supported by moderate insolation, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow within 48 hours of the date, concentrating probability on adjacent brackets while the 32°C+ tail stays under 5% absent strong high-pressure amplification. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will determine whether subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns push the observed high across the 30–31°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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