Recent meteorological model consensus points to increased cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing maximum temperatures in Beijing on August 27, shifting trader focus toward the 28–30°C outcomes that together exceed 85% implied probability. Official guidance highlights overcast conditions and passing precipitation that limit daytime heating relative to clearer late-summer patterns, while ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact peak values depending on timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings, explaining the tight clustering around 29–30°C alongside meaningful support for 28°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日北京气温最高？
8月27日北京气温最高？
28°C 37%
29°C 28%
30°C 25%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
25°C or below
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
29%
29°C
28%
30°C
25%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
28°C 37%
29°C 28%
30°C 25%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
25°C or below
$72 交易量
4%
26°C
$14 交易量
6%
27°C
$2 交易量
13%
28°C
$20 交易量
29%
29°C
$6 交易量
28%
30°C
$55 交易量
25%
31°C
$2 交易量
11%
32°C
$50 交易量
4%
33°C
$0 交易量
5%
34°C
$0 交易量
4%
35°C or higher
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus points to increased cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing maximum temperatures in Beijing on August 27, shifting trader focus toward the 28–30°C outcomes that together exceed 85% implied probability. Official guidance highlights overcast conditions and passing precipitation that limit daytime heating relative to clearer late-summer patterns, while ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact peak values depending on timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings, explaining the tight clustering around 29–30°C alongside meaningful support for 28°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$221结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus points to increased cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing maximum temperatures in Beijing on August 27, shifting trader focus toward the 28–30°C outcomes that together exceed 85% implied probability. Official guidance highlights overcast conditions and passing precipitation that limit daytime heating relative to clearer late-summer patterns, while ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact peak values depending on timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings, explaining the tight clustering around 29–30°C alongside meaningful support for 28°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$221结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent meteorological model consensus points to increased cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing maximum temperatures in Beijing on August 27, shifting trader focus toward the 28–30°C outcomes that together exceed 85% implied probability. Official guidance highlights overcast conditions and passing precipitation that limit daytime heating relative to clearer late-summer patterns, while ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact peak values depending on timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings, explaining the tight clustering around 29–30°C alongside meaningful support for 28°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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