Forecast models from MetService and other agencies indicate a high near 15°C in Wellington on August 26 under northwesterly flow, which favors mild air advection over the typical cooler southerly regime in late winter. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 15–16°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential amid variable August conditions. Recent cold outbreaks and near-average seasonal temperatures per NIWA outlooks have kept extremes unlikely, while model consensus and low precipitation signals reduce upside risk beyond 17°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月26日惠灵顿的最高温度？
16°C 64%
15°C 20%
17°C 11%
14°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
20%
16°C
64%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 64%
15°C 20%
17°C 11%
14°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
10°C or below
$1,332 交易量
<1%
11°C
$289 交易量
<1%
12°C
$632 交易量
<1%
13°C
$239 交易量
<1%
14°C
$455 交易量
2%
15°C
$1,849 交易量
20%
16°C
$2,477 交易量
64%
17°C
$1,015 交易量
11%
18°C
$380 交易量
2%
19°C
$197 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$269 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and other agencies indicate a high near 15°C in Wellington on August 26 under northwesterly flow, which favors mild air advection over the typical cooler southerly regime in late winter. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 15–16°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential amid variable August conditions. Recent cold outbreaks and near-average seasonal temperatures per NIWA outlooks have kept extremes unlikely, while model consensus and low precipitation signals reduce upside risk beyond 17°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,133结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and other agencies indicate a high near 15°C in Wellington on August 26 under northwesterly flow, which favors mild air advection over the typical cooler southerly regime in late winter. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 15–16°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential amid variable August conditions. Recent cold outbreaks and near-average seasonal temperatures per NIWA outlooks have kept extremes unlikely, while model consensus and low precipitation signals reduce upside risk beyond 17°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,133结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from MetService and other agencies indicate a high near 15°C in Wellington on August 26 under northwesterly flow, which favors mild air advection over the typical cooler southerly regime in late winter. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 15–16°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential amid variable August conditions. Recent cold outbreaks and near-average seasonal temperatures per NIWA outlooks have kept extremes unlikely, while model consensus and low precipitation signals reduce upside risk beyond 17°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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