Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies point to a minimum near 11–12°C in Wellington on August 26 amid northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, yet the closely matched market probabilities reflect lingering uncertainty over radiative cooling under clear patches or a late southerly surge. Key differentiators include surface wind speeds that limit nocturnal temperature drops through turbulent mixing, cloud cover that traps longwave radiation, and the strength of any incoming polar air mass, which NIWA notes has already produced colder-than-average conditions earlier in August. Official guidance shows typical August overnight lows near 9–11°C, but short-term model runs can shift the precise minimum by 2–3°C depending on frontal timing and high-pressure setup. Traders are thus weighting the potential for enhanced cooling against the current milder trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日惠灵顿的最低温度？
8月26日惠灵顿的最低温度？
8°C或以下 69%
10°C 48%
14°C 48%
12°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
8°C或以下
69%
9°C
12%
10°C
48%
11°C
26%
12°C
32%
13°C
29%
14°C
48%
15°C
8%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C或更高
20%
8°C或以下 69%
10°C 48%
14°C 48%
12°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
69%
9°C
$0 交易量
12%
10°C
$0 交易量
48%
11°C
$0 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
32%
13°C
$0 交易量
29%
14°C
$0 交易量
48%
15°C
$0 交易量
8%
16°C
$0 交易量
1%
17°C
$0 交易量
6%
18°C或更高
$0 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies point to a minimum near 11–12°C in Wellington on August 26 amid northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, yet the closely matched market probabilities reflect lingering uncertainty over radiative cooling under clear patches or a late southerly surge. Key differentiators include surface wind speeds that limit nocturnal temperature drops through turbulent mixing, cloud cover that traps longwave radiation, and the strength of any incoming polar air mass, which NIWA notes has already produced colder-than-average conditions earlier in August. Official guidance shows typical August overnight lows near 9–11°C, but short-term model runs can shift the precise minimum by 2–3°C depending on frontal timing and high-pressure setup. Traders are thus weighting the potential for enhanced cooling against the current milder trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies point to a minimum near 11–12°C in Wellington on August 26 amid northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, yet the closely matched market probabilities reflect lingering uncertainty over radiative cooling under clear patches or a late southerly surge. Key differentiators include surface wind speeds that limit nocturnal temperature drops through turbulent mixing, cloud cover that traps longwave radiation, and the strength of any incoming polar air mass, which NIWA notes has already produced colder-than-average conditions earlier in August. Official guidance shows typical August overnight lows near 9–11°C, but short-term model runs can shift the precise minimum by 2–3°C depending on frontal timing and high-pressure setup. Traders are thus weighting the potential for enhanced cooling against the current milder trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from MetService and other agencies point to a minimum near 11–12°C in Wellington on August 26 amid northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, yet the closely matched market probabilities reflect lingering uncertainty over radiative cooling under clear patches or a late southerly surge. Key differentiators include surface wind speeds that limit nocturnal temperature drops through turbulent mixing, cloud cover that traps longwave radiation, and the strength of any incoming polar air mass, which NIWA notes has already produced colder-than-average conditions earlier in August. Official guidance shows typical August overnight lows near 9–11°C, but short-term model runs can shift the precise minimum by 2–3°C depending on frontal timing and high-pressure setup. Traders are thus weighting the potential for enhanced cooling against the current milder trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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