**Forecast models from multiple sources, including global and regional numerical weather prediction systems, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Munich on August 24 near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus arises from stable high-pressure influences and a lack of strong frontal systems or moisture advection, keeping conditions near seasonal norms without rapid warming or cooling. Recent model runs show low spread, with highs projected between roughly 22–25 °C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, directly supporting the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of these moderate outcomes against residual uncertainty from any late adjustments in steering flow or local urban heat effects. Upcoming high-resolution model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日慕尼黑气温最高?
24°C 37%
23°C 25%
25°C 20%
22°C 9%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
25%
24°C
37%
25°C
20%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
4%
24°C 37%
23°C 25%
25°C 20%
22°C 9%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
25%
24°C
37%
25°C
20%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models from multiple sources, including global and regional numerical weather prediction systems, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Munich on August 24 near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus arises from stable high-pressure influences and a lack of strong frontal systems or moisture advection, keeping conditions near seasonal norms without rapid warming or cooling. Recent model runs show low spread, with highs projected between roughly 22–25 °C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, directly supporting the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of these moderate outcomes against residual uncertainty from any late adjustments in steering flow or local urban heat effects. Upcoming high-resolution model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题