**Recent forecasts position 18–20°C as the most likely range for Cape Town’s daily maximum on August 24, 2026, aligning with current market-implied probabilities.** Multiple models and agencies indicate highs near 17–19°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, with southerly winds and stable high pressure limiting afternoon warming. Cape Town’s winter climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current along the west coast, typically produces modest diurnal ranges; historical averages for late August hover around 17°C. Recent observations through August 22 show consistent mild conditions without significant warm-air advection or subsidence strengthening that could push readings higher. Model consensus favors a peak near 18–19°C, with limited upside risk from any unexpected ridging. Traders have concentrated bets on 19°C (43%) and 18°C (28.5%), reflecting this narrow expected window, while the 20°C outcome (18%) captures residual model spread. Lower-probability tails (below 17°C or 21°C+) align with the low likelihood of forecast errors or atypical wind shifts in the final 48 hours. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will provide the last key inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日开普敦气温最高？
8月24日开普敦气温最高？
19°C 44%
18°C 29%
20°C 18%
17°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
10%
17°C
11%
18°C
29%
19°C
44%
20°C
18%
21°C
11%
22°C
9%
23°C或更高
1%
19°C 44%
18°C 29%
20°C 18%
17°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
14°C
$0 交易量
<1%
15°C
$0 交易量
1%
16°C
$0 交易量
10%
17°C
$0 交易量
11%
18°C
$32 交易量
29%
19°C
$20 交易量
44%
20°C
$0 交易量
18%
21°C
$0 交易量
11%
22°C
$20 交易量
9%
23°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts position 18–20°C as the most likely range for Cape Town’s daily maximum on August 24, 2026, aligning with current market-implied probabilities.** Multiple models and agencies indicate highs near 17–19°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, with southerly winds and stable high pressure limiting afternoon warming.
Cape Town’s winter climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current along the west coast, typically produces modest diurnal ranges; historical averages for late August hover around 17°C. Recent observations through August 22 show consistent mild conditions without significant warm-air advection or subsidence strengthening that could push readings higher. Model consensus favors a peak near 18–19°C, with limited upside risk from any unexpected ridging.
Traders have concentrated bets on 19°C (43%) and 18°C (28.5%), reflecting this narrow expected window, while the 20°C outcome (18%) captures residual model spread. Lower-probability tails (below 17°C or 21°C+) align with the low likelihood of forecast errors or atypical wind shifts in the final 48 hours. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will provide the last key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
交易量
$77结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts position 18–20°C as the most likely range for Cape Town’s daily maximum on August 24, 2026, aligning with current market-implied probabilities.** Multiple models and agencies indicate highs near 17–19°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, with southerly winds and stable high pressure limiting afternoon warming.
Cape Town’s winter climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current along the west coast, typically produces modest diurnal ranges; historical averages for late August hover around 17°C. Recent observations through August 22 show consistent mild conditions without significant warm-air advection or subsidence strengthening that could push readings higher. Model consensus favors a peak near 18–19°C, with limited upside risk from any unexpected ridging.
Traders have concentrated bets on 19°C (43%) and 18°C (28.5%), reflecting this narrow expected window, while the 20°C outcome (18%) captures residual model spread. Lower-probability tails (below 17°C or 21°C+) align with the low likelihood of forecast errors or atypical wind shifts in the final 48 hours. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will provide the last key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$77结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET**Recent forecasts position 18–20°C as the most likely range for Cape Town’s daily maximum on August 24, 2026, aligning with current market-implied probabilities.** Multiple models and agencies indicate highs near 17–19°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, with southerly winds and stable high pressure limiting afternoon warming. Cape Town’s winter climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current along the west coast, typically produces modest diurnal ranges; historical averages for late August hover around 17°C. Recent observations through August 22 show consistent mild conditions without significant warm-air advection or subsidence strengthening that could push readings higher. Model consensus favors a peak near 18–19°C, with limited upside risk from any unexpected ridging. Traders have concentrated bets on 19°C (43%) and 18°C (28.5%), reflecting this narrow expected window, while the 20°C outcome (18%) captures residual model spread. Lower-probability tails (below 17°C or 21°C+) align with the low likelihood of forecast errors or atypical wind shifts in the final 48 hours. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will provide the last key inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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