Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to overnight lows in Paris on August 24 near the historical average of 13.9°C, driving the market's concentration around 13–15°C. Clear to partly cloudy conditions under moderate northeasterly flow will allow efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs of 24–27°C, with dew points near 9–11°C limiting additional moisture effects. Ensemble consensus shows minimal spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would elevate minima. This aligns with recent observations of 13–14°C lows on preceding nights and supports the leading implied probabilities near the climatological baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日巴黎最低气温?
14°C 38%
13°C 27%
15°C 18%
12°C 9%
11°C或以下
6%
12°C
9%
13°C
27%
14°C
38%
15°C
18%
16°C
9%
17°C
6%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C或更高
3%
14°C 38%
13°C 27%
15°C 18%
12°C 9%
11°C或以下
6%
12°C
9%
13°C
27%
14°C
38%
15°C
18%
16°C
9%
17°C
6%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to overnight lows in Paris on August 24 near the historical average of 13.9°C, driving the market's concentration around 13–15°C. Clear to partly cloudy conditions under moderate northeasterly flow will allow efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs of 24–27°C, with dew points near 9–11°C limiting additional moisture effects. Ensemble consensus shows minimal spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would elevate minima. This aligns with recent observations of 13–14°C lows on preceding nights and supports the leading implied probabilities near the climatological baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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