Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 22 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer humidity, scattered thundershowers, and easterly flow without significant frontal cooling or typhoon influence. This positions 27°C as the market leader, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from seasonal baselines around 25–26°C. Persistent subtropical conditions and high moisture content limit sharper drops, while any heavier rainfall could nudge minima slightly higher. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日上海最低气温?
27°C 55%
28°C 18%
26°C 14%
24°C 6%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
14%
27°C
55%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
<1%
27°C 55%
28°C 18%
26°C 14%
24°C 6%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
14%
27°C
55%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 22 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer humidity, scattered thundershowers, and easterly flow without significant frontal cooling or typhoon influence. This positions 27°C as the market leader, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from seasonal baselines around 25–26°C. Persistent subtropical conditions and high moisture content limit sharper drops, while any heavier rainfall could nudge minima slightly higher. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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