Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions over Luzon are keeping Metro Manila under extensive cloud cover with scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating and supporting maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 22. PAGASA outlooks project a 26–32°C range with 60–70% rain probability, consistent with climatological August averages of roughly 31°C highs amid high humidity. These factors underpin the market’s concentration on 31°C (37%) and 32°C (21.5%) as the most probable outcomes, with lower odds on 30°C or 33°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud breaks or convective timing. Official forecasts from PAGASA and ensemble guidance show limited model spread for this short-range period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月22日马尼拉的最高温度？
31°C 37%
32°C 22%
30°C 21%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
21%
31°C
37%
32°C
22%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
1%
31°C 37%
32°C 22%
30°C 21%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
25°C或以下
$196 交易量
<1%
26°C
$196 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$80 交易量
3%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C
$36 交易量
21%
31°C
$50 交易量
37%
32°C
$47 交易量
22%
33°C
$38 交易量
12%
34°C
$35 交易量
2%
35°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions over Luzon are keeping Metro Manila under extensive cloud cover with scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating and supporting maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 22. PAGASA outlooks project a 26–32°C range with 60–70% rain probability, consistent with climatological August averages of roughly 31°C highs amid high humidity. These factors underpin the market’s concentration on 31°C (37%) and 32°C (21.5%) as the most probable outcomes, with lower odds on 30°C or 33°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud breaks or convective timing. Official forecasts from PAGASA and ensemble guidance show limited model spread for this short-range period.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$678结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions over Luzon are keeping Metro Manila under extensive cloud cover with scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating and supporting maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 22. PAGASA outlooks project a 26–32°C range with 60–70% rain probability, consistent with climatological August averages of roughly 31°C highs amid high humidity. These factors underpin the market’s concentration on 31°C (37%) and 32°C (21.5%) as the most probable outcomes, with lower odds on 30°C or 33°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud breaks or convective timing. Official forecasts from PAGASA and ensemble guidance show limited model spread for this short-range period.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$678结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions over Luzon are keeping Metro Manila under extensive cloud cover with scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating and supporting maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 22. PAGASA outlooks project a 26–32°C range with 60–70% rain probability, consistent with climatological August averages of roughly 31°C highs amid high humidity. These factors underpin the market’s concentration on 31°C (37%) and 32°C (21.5%) as the most probable outcomes, with lower odds on 30°C or 33°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud breaks or convective timing. Official forecasts from PAGASA and ensemble guidance show limited model spread for this short-range period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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