Trader sentiment centers on ensemble forecasts from centers like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showing the most probable maximum temperature in Munich on August 20 falling between 25–27 °C. These closely matched probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in the strength and position of a high-pressure ridge over central Europe, which controls subsidence warming and boundary-layer mixing, alongside variable advection of slightly cooler maritime air from the northwest. Small differences in predicted cloud cover and daytime insolation can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. New model runs incorporating fresh observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the distribution before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日慕尼黑气温最高？
8月20日慕尼黑气温最高？
26°C 36%
25°C 21%
27°C 18%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
21%
26°C
37%
27°C
18%
28°C
10%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 36%
25°C 21%
27°C 18%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
20°C or below
$215 交易量
<1%
21°C
$81 交易量
1%
22°C
$160 交易量
3%
23°C
$530 交易量
1%
24°C
$477 交易量
2%
25°C
$73 交易量
21%
26°C
$92 交易量
37%
27°C
$218 交易量
18%
28°C
$262 交易量
10%
29°C
$276 交易量
4%
30°C or higher
$345 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on ensemble forecasts from centers like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showing the most probable maximum temperature in Munich on August 20 falling between 25–27 °C. These closely matched probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in the strength and position of a high-pressure ridge over central Europe, which controls subsidence warming and boundary-layer mixing, alongside variable advection of slightly cooler maritime air from the northwest. Small differences in predicted cloud cover and daytime insolation can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. New model runs incorporating fresh observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,729结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on ensemble forecasts from centers like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showing the most probable maximum temperature in Munich on August 20 falling between 25–27 °C. These closely matched probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in the strength and position of a high-pressure ridge over central Europe, which controls subsidence warming and boundary-layer mixing, alongside variable advection of slightly cooler maritime air from the northwest. Small differences in predicted cloud cover and daytime insolation can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. New model runs incorporating fresh observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,729结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTrader sentiment centers on ensemble forecasts from centers like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showing the most probable maximum temperature in Munich on August 20 falling between 25–27 °C. These closely matched probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in the strength and position of a high-pressure ridge over central Europe, which controls subsidence warming and boundary-layer mixing, alongside variable advection of slightly cooler maritime air from the northwest. Small differences in predicted cloud cover and daytime insolation can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. New model runs incorporating fresh observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the distribution before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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