Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C for Tokyo on August 20 under persistent high-pressure influence from the strengthened Pacific High, consistent with the 2026 summer outlook for above-normal temperatures across Honshu. This setup favors clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit cooling, though afternoon sea breezes or scattered showers could trim peaks by 1°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo often adding 1–2°C to official readings. Model consensus supports outcomes clustered around 30–32°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and insolation timing ahead of the next JMA update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日东京气温最高?
31°C 37%
32°C 27%
30°C 23%
33°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
23%
31°C
37%
32°C
27%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 27%
30°C 23%
33°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
23%
31°C
37%
32°C
27%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C for Tokyo on August 20 under persistent high-pressure influence from the strengthened Pacific High, consistent with the 2026 summer outlook for above-normal temperatures across Honshu. This setup favors clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit cooling, though afternoon sea breezes or scattered showers could trim peaks by 1°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo often adding 1–2°C to official readings. Model consensus supports outcomes clustered around 30–32°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and insolation timing ahead of the next JMA update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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