Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a highest temperature near 29°C in Qingdao on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, thundery showers, and southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average highs reach 28–30°C amid high humidity and frequent precipitation. Trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes reflects the narrow expected range, with only modest upside potential if clearing occurs earlier than modeled. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will further constrain probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日青岛气温最高?
30°C 34%
29°C 23%
31°C 16%
32°C 16%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
13%
29°C
23%
30°C
34%
31°C
16%
32°C
16%
33°C
8%
34°C或更高
1%
30°C 34%
29°C 23%
31°C 16%
32°C 16%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
13%
29°C
23%
30°C
34%
31°C
16%
32°C
16%
33°C
8%
34°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a highest temperature near 29°C in Qingdao on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, thundery showers, and southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average highs reach 28–30°C amid high humidity and frequent precipitation. Trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes reflects the narrow expected range, with only modest upside potential if clearing occurs earlier than modeled. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will further constrain probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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