Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC point to a daytime maximum near 34–36°C in Wuhan on August 22, with modest model spread keeping the 35°C outcome narrowly ahead in trader pricing. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures depend on solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, boundary-layer humidity that limits evaporative cooling, and any afternoon convective activity that could cap readings. Minor shifts in steering winds, cloud cover, or localized precipitation timing differentiate the closely matched 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C bins, while historical August averages near 33°C provide baseline context for the current setup. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日武汉气温最高?
35°C 35%
36°C 25%
34°C 24%
38°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
5%
34°C
24%
35°C
35%
36°C
25%
37°C
5%
38°C
6%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 35%
36°C 25%
34°C 24%
38°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
5%
34°C
24%
35°C
35%
36°C
25%
37°C
5%
38°C
6%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC point to a daytime maximum near 34–36°C in Wuhan on August 22, with modest model spread keeping the 35°C outcome narrowly ahead in trader pricing. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures depend on solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, boundary-layer humidity that limits evaporative cooling, and any afternoon convective activity that could cap readings. Minor shifts in steering winds, cloud cover, or localized precipitation timing differentiate the closely matched 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C bins, while historical August averages near 33°C provide baseline context for the current setup. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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