Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models like those referenced by AccuWeather point to typical late-summer conditions, with daily maxima centered near 31–32°C amid high humidity and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Seasonal outlooks emphasize normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and ENSO influences, yet short-term factors such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential thunderstorm activity introduce variability that keeps 31°C and 32°C as the closest market-implied outcomes. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the designated station on August 20, with any shift in steering flow or reduced rainfall potentially favoring the higher end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日香港气温最高？
8月20日香港气温最高？
31°C 34%
32°C 32%
30°C 15%
33°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
34%
32°C
32%
33°C
13%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 32%
30°C 15%
33°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
27°C or below
$156 交易量
<1%
28°C
$400 交易量
1%
29°C
$329 交易量
5%
30°C
$48 交易量
15%
31°C
$197 交易量
34%
32°C
$108 交易量
32%
33°C
$86 交易量
13%
34°C
$148 交易量
5%
35°C
$36 交易量
1%
36°C
$10 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$22 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models like those referenced by AccuWeather point to typical late-summer conditions, with daily maxima centered near 31–32°C amid high humidity and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Seasonal outlooks emphasize normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and ENSO influences, yet short-term factors such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential thunderstorm activity introduce variability that keeps 31°C and 32°C as the closest market-implied outcomes. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the designated station on August 20, with any shift in steering flow or reduced rainfall potentially favoring the higher end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,459结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models like those referenced by AccuWeather point to typical late-summer conditions, with daily maxima centered near 31–32°C amid high humidity and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Seasonal outlooks emphasize normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and ENSO influences, yet short-term factors such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential thunderstorm activity introduce variability that keeps 31°C and 32°C as the closest market-implied outcomes. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the designated station on August 20, with any shift in steering flow or reduced rainfall potentially favoring the higher end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,459结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models like those referenced by AccuWeather point to typical late-summer conditions, with daily maxima centered near 31–32°C amid high humidity and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Seasonal outlooks emphasize normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and ENSO influences, yet short-term factors such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential thunderstorm activity introduce variability that keeps 31°C and 32°C as the closest market-implied outcomes. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the designated station on August 20, with any shift in steering flow or reduced rainfall potentially favoring the higher end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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