Recent forecasts from models like those used by the Korea Meteorological Administration show Busan likely peaking near 32–34°C on August 22 amid lingering summer warmth, with isolated thunderstorms and overcast skies potentially capping the daily maximum through reduced solar heating and sea-breeze effects. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because of small uncertainties in storm timing, cloud cover, and the strength of the North Pacific High maintaining humid, above-average conditions—consistent with an active El Niño phase. Historical August highs average 29–31°C, but persistent tropical nights and minimal cooling overnight keep probabilities elevated for the upper end of the range while limiting odds of extremes above 35°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these distinctions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日釜山气温最高?
33°C 32%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
27%
33°C
32%
34°C
24%
35°C
11%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
3%
33°C 32%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
27%
33°C
32%
34°C
24%
35°C
11%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models like those used by the Korea Meteorological Administration show Busan likely peaking near 32–34°C on August 22 amid lingering summer warmth, with isolated thunderstorms and overcast skies potentially capping the daily maximum through reduced solar heating and sea-breeze effects. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because of small uncertainties in storm timing, cloud cover, and the strength of the North Pacific High maintaining humid, above-average conditions—consistent with an active El Niño phase. Historical August highs average 29–31°C, but persistent tropical nights and minimal cooling overnight keep probabilities elevated for the upper end of the range while limiting odds of extremes above 35°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these distinctions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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