Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts indicates Chengdu highs near 31–34°C on August 22, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C. In the Sichuan Basin, late-August conditions feature high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convection that can suppress peak temperatures through cloud cover or brief showers, while clearer periods allow greater solar insolation to push readings higher. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any monsoon-related moisture or upper-level ridging explain the tight clustering around these outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble spreads and historical analogs showing typical maxima near 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日成都气温最高？
8月22日成都气温最高？
33°C 25%
32°C 24%
34°C 17%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
24%
33°C
25%
34°C
17%
35°C
10%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 25%
32°C 24%
34°C 17%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
26°C or below
$372 交易量
<1%
27°C
$216 交易量
<1%
28°C
$242 交易量
4%
29°C
$136 交易量
3%
30°C
$22 交易量
7%
31°C
$12 交易量
14%
32°C
$35 交易量
24%
33°C
$241 交易量
25%
34°C
$51 交易量
17%
35°C
$94 交易量
10%
36°C or higher
$83 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts indicates Chengdu highs near 31–34°C on August 22, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C. In the Sichuan Basin, late-August conditions feature high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convection that can suppress peak temperatures through cloud cover or brief showers, while clearer periods allow greater solar insolation to push readings higher. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any monsoon-related moisture or upper-level ridging explain the tight clustering around these outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble spreads and historical analogs showing typical maxima near 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,505结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts indicates Chengdu highs near 31–34°C on August 22, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C. In the Sichuan Basin, late-August conditions feature high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convection that can suppress peak temperatures through cloud cover or brief showers, while clearer periods allow greater solar insolation to push readings higher. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any monsoon-related moisture or upper-level ridging explain the tight clustering around these outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble spreads and historical analogs showing typical maxima near 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,505结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts indicates Chengdu highs near 31–34°C on August 22, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C. In the Sichuan Basin, late-August conditions feature high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convection that can suppress peak temperatures through cloud cover or brief showers, while clearer periods allow greater solar insolation to push readings higher. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any monsoon-related moisture or upper-level ridging explain the tight clustering around these outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble spreads and historical analogs showing typical maxima near 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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