Recent European forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show Paris under northeast flow with high pressure and increasing cloud cover on August 24, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum near the 24.6°C August average. Light showers or drizzle in some guidance add evaporative cooling that caps peaks, while clearer intervals in others allow brief warming. Trader consensus clusters on 25–27°C because these factors produce only modest day-to-day and model-to-model spread; a few degrees hinge on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage. Updated midday runs and satellite trends over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether the high reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日巴黎气温最高?
26°C 34%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
28°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
34%
27°C
25%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
28°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
34%
27°C
25%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent European forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show Paris under northeast flow with high pressure and increasing cloud cover on August 24, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum near the 24.6°C August average. Light showers or drizzle in some guidance add evaporative cooling that caps peaks, while clearer intervals in others allow brief warming. Trader consensus clusters on 25–27°C because these factors produce only modest day-to-day and model-to-model spread; a few degrees hinge on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage. Updated midday runs and satellite trends over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether the high reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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