Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 13–15°C as the most probable overnight minimum range for London on August 24, reflecting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure maintaining settled conditions. Recent model runs show slight cooling from mid-August warmth, with early-morning dew points supporting lows near the seasonal average of 14°C. Trader consensus at 14°C (37.5%) aligns with this central tendency, while spreads to 13°C or 15°C capture residual model variability in cloud cover and wind strength ahead of the final 48-hour updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日伦敦最低气温?
14°C 38%
13°C 25%
15°C 24%
16°C 11%
10°C或以下
5%
11°C
4%
12°C
6%
13°C
25%
14°C
38%
15°C
24%
16°C
11%
17°C
6%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C或更高
2%
14°C 38%
13°C 25%
15°C 24%
16°C 11%
10°C或以下
5%
11°C
4%
12°C
6%
13°C
25%
14°C
38%
15°C
24%
16°C
11%
17°C
6%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 13–15°C as the most probable overnight minimum range for London on August 24, reflecting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure maintaining settled conditions. Recent model runs show slight cooling from mid-August warmth, with early-morning dew points supporting lows near the seasonal average of 14°C. Trader consensus at 14°C (37.5%) aligns with this central tendency, while spreads to 13°C or 15°C capture residual model variability in cloud cover and wind strength ahead of the final 48-hour updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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