Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for London on August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight and light variable winds that limit mixing. Radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover favors the lower end of that range in suburban and rural fringes, while the urban heat island effect supports values closer to 14°C. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, with ECMWF and UKMO outputs aligning closely after a period of above-average warmth earlier in August; any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed could nudge readings upward by 1°C. Traders weight these factors against climatological August minima around 12–15°C, with the tight probability distribution reflecting high confidence in official forecasts ahead of final overnight observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日伦敦最低气温？
8月23日伦敦最低气温？
13°C 46%
14°C 29%
12°C 17%
11°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
1%
11°C
10%
12°C
17%
13°C
46%
14°C
29%
15°C
5%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C或更高
<1%
13°C 46%
14°C 29%
12°C 17%
11°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
8°C或以下
$17 交易量
1%
9°C
$93 交易量
2%
10°C
$20 交易量
1%
11°C
$163 交易量
10%
12°C
$692 交易量
17%
13°C
$1,543 交易量
46%
14°C
$924 交易量
29%
15°C
$403 交易量
5%
16°C
$93 交易量
4%
17°C
$47 交易量
1%
18°C或更高
$71 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for London on August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight and light variable winds that limit mixing. Radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover favors the lower end of that range in suburban and rural fringes, while the urban heat island effect supports values closer to 14°C. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, with ECMWF and UKMO outputs aligning closely after a period of above-average warmth earlier in August; any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed could nudge readings upward by 1°C. Traders weight these factors against climatological August minima around 12–15°C, with the tight probability distribution reflecting high confidence in official forecasts ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,066结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for London on August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight and light variable winds that limit mixing. Radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover favors the lower end of that range in suburban and rural fringes, while the urban heat island effect supports values closer to 14°C. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, with ECMWF and UKMO outputs aligning closely after a period of above-average warmth earlier in August; any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed could nudge readings upward by 1°C. Traders weight these factors against climatological August minima around 12–15°C, with the tight probability distribution reflecting high confidence in official forecasts ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,066结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for London on August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight and light variable winds that limit mixing. Radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover favors the lower end of that range in suburban and rural fringes, while the urban heat island effect supports values closer to 14°C. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, with ECMWF and UKMO outputs aligning closely after a period of above-average warmth earlier in August; any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed could nudge readings upward by 1°C. Traders weight these factors against climatological August minima around 12–15°C, with the tight probability distribution reflecting high confidence in official forecasts ahead of final overnight observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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