Trader consensus remains closely divided between 90-91°F and 92-93°F because National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 23 project a daytime high near 93°F under mostly sunny morning conditions, yet afternoon convection carries a 50-70% probability of showers and thunderstorms that could limit peak readings. Sea-breeze convergence, high boundary-layer moisture, and model spread in convective initiation timing introduce meaningful uncertainty in whether the temperature reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Typical mid-August climatology supports highs in the low 90s, but enhanced cloud cover or earlier storm development would favor the cooler bin while clearer skies or delayed precipitation would support the warmer outcome. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of August 22 will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日迈阿密气温最高？
8月23日迈阿密气温最高？
92-93°F 43%
90-91°F 43%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
2%
98°F或更高
1%
92-93°F 43%
90-91°F 43%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
79°F or below
$167 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$167 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$87 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$354 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$100 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$404 交易量
7%
90-91°F
$820 交易量
43%
92-93°F
$263 交易量
43%
94-95°F
$150 交易量
7%
96-97°F
$74 交易量
2%
98°F或更高
$55 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus remains closely divided between 90-91°F and 92-93°F because National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 23 project a daytime high near 93°F under mostly sunny morning conditions, yet afternoon convection carries a 50-70% probability of showers and thunderstorms that could limit peak readings. Sea-breeze convergence, high boundary-layer moisture, and model spread in convective initiation timing introduce meaningful uncertainty in whether the temperature reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Typical mid-August climatology supports highs in the low 90s, but enhanced cloud cover or earlier storm development would favor the cooler bin while clearer skies or delayed precipitation would support the warmer outcome. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of August 22 will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,642结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus remains closely divided between 90-91°F and 92-93°F because National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 23 project a daytime high near 93°F under mostly sunny morning conditions, yet afternoon convection carries a 50-70% probability of showers and thunderstorms that could limit peak readings. Sea-breeze convergence, high boundary-layer moisture, and model spread in convective initiation timing introduce meaningful uncertainty in whether the temperature reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Typical mid-August climatology supports highs in the low 90s, but enhanced cloud cover or earlier storm development would favor the cooler bin while clearer skies or delayed precipitation would support the warmer outcome. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of August 22 will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,642结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETTrader consensus remains closely divided between 90-91°F and 92-93°F because National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 23 project a daytime high near 93°F under mostly sunny morning conditions, yet afternoon convection carries a 50-70% probability of showers and thunderstorms that could limit peak readings. Sea-breeze convergence, high boundary-layer moisture, and model spread in convective initiation timing introduce meaningful uncertainty in whether the temperature reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Typical mid-August climatology supports highs in the low 90s, but enhanced cloud cover or earlier storm development would favor the cooler bin while clearer skies or delayed precipitation would support the warmer outcome. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of August 22 will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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