Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月23日的最高温度？
芝加哥8月23日的最高温度？
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 35%
72-73°F 12%
78-79°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 35%
72-73°F 12%
78-79°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
65°F或以下
$213 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$170 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$208 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$163 交易量
2%
72-73°F
$385 交易量
12%
74-75°F
$658 交易量
45%
76-77°F
$359 交易量
35%
78-79°F
$466 交易量
10%
80-81°F
$219 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$115 交易量
<1%
84°F或更高
$117 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$3,075结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,075结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETTrader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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