**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21 centers on 29–31 °C, reflecting official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models showing a most likely maximum near 30–31 °C amid showers and cloudy conditions.** Typical August climatology features afternoon highs averaging 32 °C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, yet recent model guidance and current weather patterns indicate increased cloud cover and precipitation that should limit daytime heating. Earlier August heatwave conditions pushed readings above 35 °C, but the approaching period features higher rain probabilities that favor the market-implied peak around 30 °C. Updated forecasts in the next 48 hours from the Observatory and global ensembles will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日香港气温最高？
8月21日香港气温最高？
30°C 40%
29°C 25%
31°C 23%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
25%
30°C
40%
31°C
23%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 40%
29°C 25%
31°C 23%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
24°C or below
$508 交易量
<1%
25°C
$599 交易量
<1%
26°C
$562 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,411 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,343 交易量
10%
29°C
$477 交易量
25%
30°C
$227 交易量
40%
31°C
$214 交易量
23%
32°C
$221 交易量
6%
33°C
$138 交易量
2%
34°C or higher
$253 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21 centers on 29–31 °C, reflecting official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models showing a most likely maximum near 30–31 °C amid showers and cloudy conditions.**
Typical August climatology features afternoon highs averaging 32 °C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, yet recent model guidance and current weather patterns indicate increased cloud cover and precipitation that should limit daytime heating. Earlier August heatwave conditions pushed readings above 35 °C, but the approaching period features higher rain probabilities that favor the market-implied peak around 30 °C. Updated forecasts in the next 48 hours from the Observatory and global ensembles will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,953结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21 centers on 29–31 °C, reflecting official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models showing a most likely maximum near 30–31 °C amid showers and cloudy conditions.**
Typical August climatology features afternoon highs averaging 32 °C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, yet recent model guidance and current weather patterns indicate increased cloud cover and precipitation that should limit daytime heating. Earlier August heatwave conditions pushed readings above 35 °C, but the approaching period features higher rain probabilities that favor the market-implied peak around 30 °C. Updated forecasts in the next 48 hours from the Observatory and global ensembles will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,953结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21 centers on 29–31 °C, reflecting official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models showing a most likely maximum near 30–31 °C amid showers and cloudy conditions.** Typical August climatology features afternoon highs averaging 32 °C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, yet recent model guidance and current weather patterns indicate increased cloud cover and precipitation that should limit daytime heating. Earlier August heatwave conditions pushed readings above 35 °C, but the approaching period features higher rain probabilities that favor the market-implied peak around 30 °C. Updated forecasts in the next 48 hours from the Observatory and global ensembles will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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