Forecasts for Chicago's overnight low on August 23 show model consensus centered on 58–61°F, with the market's leading 60–61°F outcome at 42.5% reflecting guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicating stable high pressure and light winds under partly cloudy skies. Recent upper-air analyses and surface observations support minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could drive further cooling, while 58–59°F at 36.5% accounts for slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology for the region places typical lows near 62°F, so current data revisions favor modestly cooler readings without extreme outliers. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日芝加哥最低气温？
8月23日芝加哥最低气温？
60-61°F 44%
68-69°F 40%
58-59°F 37%
62-63°F 21%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
51°F或更低
20%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
37%
60-61°F
44%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
40%
70华氏度或更高
6%
60-61°F 44%
68-69°F 40%
58-59°F 37%
62-63°F 21%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
51°F或更低
$0 交易量
20%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
21%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
21%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
21%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
37%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
44%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
21%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
21%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
21%
68-69°F
$15 交易量
40%
70华氏度或更高
$25 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Chicago's overnight low on August 23 show model consensus centered on 58–61°F, with the market's leading 60–61°F outcome at 42.5% reflecting guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicating stable high pressure and light winds under partly cloudy skies. Recent upper-air analyses and surface observations support minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could drive further cooling, while 58–59°F at 36.5% accounts for slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology for the region places typical lows near 62°F, so current data revisions favor modestly cooler readings without extreme outliers. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$40结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Chicago's overnight low on August 23 show model consensus centered on 58–61°F, with the market's leading 60–61°F outcome at 42.5% reflecting guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicating stable high pressure and light winds under partly cloudy skies. Recent upper-air analyses and surface observations support minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could drive further cooling, while 58–59°F at 36.5% accounts for slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology for the region places typical lows near 62°F, so current data revisions favor modestly cooler readings without extreme outliers. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETForecasts for Chicago's overnight low on August 23 show model consensus centered on 58–61°F, with the market's leading 60–61°F outcome at 42.5% reflecting guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicating stable high pressure and light winds under partly cloudy skies. Recent upper-air analyses and surface observations support minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could drive further cooling, while 58–59°F at 36.5% accounts for slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology for the region places typical lows near 62°F, so current data revisions favor modestly cooler readings without extreme outliers. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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