Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles indicates overnight lows of 11–13 °C for Helsinki on August 24, following a cooler-than-average mid-August period with northerly flow and frequent rain. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies after frontal passage, combined with dew-point depressions around 54 °F, supports these readings near the 12.6 °C climatological average. The elevated 48.5 % market-implied odds on 8 °C or below reflect model spread and historical precedent for rapid drops in late August, while the cluster around 11–13 °C aligns with current guidance. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether further cooling materializes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日赫尔辛基最低气温?
18°C或更高 48%
8°C或以下 48%
15°C 36%
16°C 36%
8°C或以下
48%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
20%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
36%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C或更高
48%
18°C或更高 48%
8°C或以下 48%
15°C 36%
16°C 36%
8°C或以下
48%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
20%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
36%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C或更高
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles indicates overnight lows of 11–13 °C for Helsinki on August 24, following a cooler-than-average mid-August period with northerly flow and frequent rain. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies after frontal passage, combined with dew-point depressions around 54 °F, supports these readings near the 12.6 °C climatological average. The elevated 48.5 % market-implied odds on 8 °C or below reflect model spread and historical precedent for rapid drops in late August, while the cluster around 11–13 °C aligns with current guidance. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether further cooling materializes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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