Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Istanbul's overnight low on August 24 near the late-summer climatological average of 20–22°C, yet market odds remain closely split between 18°C or below (41.5%) and 28°C or higher (40.5%). This balance reflects modest but persistent uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover, which modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, and shifting wind patterns influenced by the Bosphorus Strait that can enhance or suppress local advection of cooler marine air. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and any revisions in boundary-layer conditions that could push the minimum outside the typical range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
8月24日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
18°C或以下 82%
28°C或更高 81%
19°C 37%
21°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
18°C或以下
82%
19°C
37%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C
28%
24°C
20%
25°C
37%
26°C
2%
27°C
37%
28°C或更高
81%
18°C或以下 82%
28°C或更高 81%
19°C 37%
21°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
18°C或以下
$5 交易量
82%
19°C
$5 交易量
37%
20°C
$0 交易量
20%
21°C
$5 交易量
28%
22°C
$5 交易量
28%
23°C
$5 交易量
28%
24°C
$0 交易量
20%
25°C
$5 交易量
37%
26°C
$5 交易量
2%
27°C
$5 交易量
37%
28°C或更高
$5 交易量
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Istanbul's overnight low on August 24 near the late-summer climatological average of 20–22°C, yet market odds remain closely split between 18°C or below (41.5%) and 28°C or higher (40.5%). This balance reflects modest but persistent uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover, which modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, and shifting wind patterns influenced by the Bosphorus Strait that can enhance or suppress local advection of cooler marine air. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and any revisions in boundary-layer conditions that could push the minimum outside the typical range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
交易量
$45结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Istanbul's overnight low on August 24 near the late-summer climatological average of 20–22°C, yet market odds remain closely split between 18°C or below (41.5%) and 28°C or higher (40.5%). This balance reflects modest but persistent uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover, which modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, and shifting wind patterns influenced by the Bosphorus Strait that can enhance or suppress local advection of cooler marine air. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and any revisions in boundary-layer conditions that could push the minimum outside the typical range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Istanbul's overnight low on August 24 near the late-summer climatological average of 20–22°C, yet market odds remain closely split between 18°C or below (41.5%) and 28°C or higher (40.5%). This balance reflects modest but persistent uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover, which modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, and shifting wind patterns influenced by the Bosphorus Strait that can enhance or suppress local advection of cooler marine air. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and any revisions in boundary-layer conditions that could push the minimum outside the typical range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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