Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's peak temperature on August 24 will hinge on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong insolation, with daytime maxima centered near 27–29 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing: lighter northeasterly winds could allow greater surface heating while a stronger Bosphorus sea breeze may cap readings by advecting cooler marine air. Urban heat-island effects at the official observing site add minor variability, and any late-day convective clouds could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum. With resolution imminent, updated short-range guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs will likely tighten trader consensus around these narrow temperature thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月24日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
28°C 45%
27°C 31%
29℃ 22%
26°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
31%
28°C
45%
29℃
22%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C或以上
3%
28°C 45%
27°C 31%
29℃ 22%
26°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C或以下
$5 交易量
2%
24°C
$5 交易量
3%
25°C
$101 交易量
3%
26°C
$54 交易量
5%
27°C
$150 交易量
31%
28°C
$35 交易量
45%
29℃
$0 交易量
22%
30°C
$0 交易量
5%
31°C
$3 交易量
3%
32°C
$5 交易量
3%
33°C或以上
$5 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's peak temperature on August 24 will hinge on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong insolation, with daytime maxima centered near 27–29 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing: lighter northeasterly winds could allow greater surface heating while a stronger Bosphorus sea breeze may cap readings by advecting cooler marine air. Urban heat-island effects at the official observing site add minor variability, and any late-day convective clouds could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum. With resolution imminent, updated short-range guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs will likely tighten trader consensus around these narrow temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
交易量
$363结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's peak temperature on August 24 will hinge on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong insolation, with daytime maxima centered near 27–29 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing: lighter northeasterly winds could allow greater surface heating while a stronger Bosphorus sea breeze may cap readings by advecting cooler marine air. Urban heat-island effects at the official observing site add minor variability, and any late-day convective clouds could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum. With resolution imminent, updated short-range guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs will likely tighten trader consensus around these narrow temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$363结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's peak temperature on August 24 will hinge on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong insolation, with daytime maxima centered near 27–29 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing: lighter northeasterly winds could allow greater surface heating while a stronger Bosphorus sea breeze may cap readings by advecting cooler marine air. Urban heat-island effects at the official observing site add minor variability, and any late-day convective clouds could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum. With resolution imminent, updated short-range guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs will likely tighten trader consensus around these narrow temperature thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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