Unstable atmospheric conditions across the UAE are driving the primary catalyst for today's rain odds, with the National Centre of Meteorology forecasting afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers concentrated over eastern and southern regions. These areas, including parts of Al Ain, Fujairah, and interior Abu Dhabi, typically see the strongest development due to orographic lift and daytime heating that fuels thunderstorms under temperatures exceeding 40°C. Official guidance distinguishes this localized pattern from coastal zones like Dubai, where drier conditions predominate. Model consensus and historical summer analogs support continued instability through the afternoon, with NCM updates providing the key data releases that could refine resolution thresholds for measurable precipitation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日会在哪里下雨?

纽约,纽约
28%

洛杉矶,加利福尼亚州
3%

伊利诺伊州芝加哥
50%

休斯顿,德克萨斯州
5%

达拉斯,德克萨斯州
5%

亚利桑那州凤凰城
5%

费城,宾夕法尼亚州
98%

丹佛,科罗拉多
94%

华盛顿特区
97%

亚特兰大,乔治亚州
5%

迈阿密,佛罗里达
50%

华盛顿州西雅图
5%

波士顿,马萨诸塞州
50%

新奥尔良,路易斯安那州
51%

旧金山,加利福尼亚
5%
$250 交易量

纽约,纽约
28%

洛杉矶,加利福尼亚州
3%

伊利诺伊州芝加哥
50%

休斯顿,德克萨斯州
5%

达拉斯,德克萨斯州
5%

亚利桑那州凤凰城
5%

费城,宾夕法尼亚州
98%

丹佛,科罗拉多
94%

华盛顿特区
97%

亚特兰大,乔治亚州
5%

迈阿密,佛罗里达
50%

华盛顿州西雅图
5%

波士顿,马萨诸塞州
50%

新奥尔良,路易斯安那州
51%

旧金山,加利福尼亚
5%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Unstable atmospheric conditions across the UAE are driving the primary catalyst for today's rain odds, with the National Centre of Meteorology forecasting afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers concentrated over eastern and southern regions. These areas, including parts of Al Ain, Fujairah, and interior Abu Dhabi, typically see the strongest development due to orographic lift and daytime heating that fuels thunderstorms under temperatures exceeding 40°C. Official guidance distinguishes this localized pattern from coastal zones like Dubai, where drier conditions predominate. Model consensus and historical summer analogs support continued instability through the afternoon, with NCM updates providing the key data releases that could refine resolution thresholds for measurable precipitation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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