Recent official forecasts from Météo-France, GFS model runs, and European ensembles converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Paris on August 22 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow. This reflects a cooler maritime air mass advecting inland, suppressing the warmer southerly influence seen earlier in the week and aligning closely with the August climatological normal of ~24.5–24.9°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for exactly 23°C, incorporates model agreement and low precipitation risk, while the modest spread to 22°C or 24°C accounts for typical microscale variability and final observational adjustments by Météo-France. Updated model guidance and afternoon surface observations tomorrow will drive any late shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日巴黎气温最高？
8月22日巴黎气温最高？
23°C 53%
24°C 23%
22°C 22%
21°C 5%
最新
$10,998 交易量
最新
$10,998 交易量
2026-08-22
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
22%
23°C
53%
24°C
23%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 53%
24°C 23%
22°C 22%
21°C 5%
最新
$10,998 交易量
最新
$10,998 交易量
2026-08-22
19°C or below
$335 交易量
<1%
20°C
$293 交易量
1%
21°C
$799 交易量
5%
22°C
$1,190 交易量
22%
23°C
$3,370 交易量
53%
24°C
$1,052 交易量
23%
25°C
$1,571 交易量
3%
26°C
$1,050 交易量
1%
27°C
$456 交易量
1%
28°C
$390 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$492 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France, GFS model runs, and European ensembles converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Paris on August 22 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow. This reflects a cooler maritime air mass advecting inland, suppressing the warmer southerly influence seen earlier in the week and aligning closely with the August climatological normal of ~24.5–24.9°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for exactly 23°C, incorporates model agreement and low precipitation risk, while the modest spread to 22°C or 24°C accounts for typical microscale variability and final observational adjustments by Météo-France. Updated model guidance and afternoon surface observations tomorrow will drive any late shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,998结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France, GFS model runs, and European ensembles converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Paris on August 22 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow. This reflects a cooler maritime air mass advecting inland, suppressing the warmer southerly influence seen earlier in the week and aligning closely with the August climatological normal of ~24.5–24.9°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for exactly 23°C, incorporates model agreement and low precipitation risk, while the modest spread to 22°C or 24°C accounts for typical microscale variability and final observational adjustments by Météo-France. Updated model guidance and afternoon surface observations tomorrow will drive any late shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,998结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Météo-France, GFS model runs, and European ensembles converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Paris on August 22 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow. This reflects a cooler maritime air mass advecting inland, suppressing the warmer southerly influence seen earlier in the week and aligning closely with the August climatological normal of ~24.5–24.9°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for exactly 23°C, incorporates model agreement and low precipitation risk, while the modest spread to 22°C or 24°C accounts for typical microscale variability and final observational adjustments by Météo-France. Updated model guidance and afternoon surface observations tomorrow will drive any late shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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