Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and European models indicates a high near 21°C in Munich on August 21, driven by a shift to cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 19th–20th. This positions the 21–22°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak one degree either way. Historical late-August climatology for southern Bavaria shows typical highs of 22–24°C under high pressure, but the current pattern favors suppressed maxima closer to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official observations from the German Weather Service will refine resolution criteria before market settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日慕尼黑的最高温度？
8月21日慕尼黑的最高温度？
21°C 31%
22°C 24%
20°C 16%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
16%
21°C
31%
22°C
24%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
6%
21°C 31%
22°C 24%
20°C 16%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
14°C or below
$433 交易量
<1%
15°C
$439 交易量
<1%
16°C
$389 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,093 交易量
1%
18°C
$15 交易量
3%
19°C
$103 交易量
8%
20°C
$205 交易量
16%
21°C
$70 交易量
31%
22°C
$177 交易量
24%
23°C
$170 交易量
13%
24°C or higher
$603 交易量
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and European models indicates a high near 21°C in Munich on August 21, driven by a shift to cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 19th–20th. This positions the 21–22°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak one degree either way. Historical late-August climatology for southern Bavaria shows typical highs of 22–24°C under high pressure, but the current pattern favors suppressed maxima closer to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official observations from the German Weather Service will refine resolution criteria before market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,697结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and European models indicates a high near 21°C in Munich on August 21, driven by a shift to cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 19th–20th. This positions the 21–22°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak one degree either way. Historical late-August climatology for southern Bavaria shows typical highs of 22–24°C under high pressure, but the current pattern favors suppressed maxima closer to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official observations from the German Weather Service will refine resolution criteria before market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,697结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and European models indicates a high near 21°C in Munich on August 21, driven by a shift to cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 19th–20th. This positions the 21–22°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak one degree either way. Historical late-August climatology for southern Bavaria shows typical highs of 22–24°C under high pressure, but the current pattern favors suppressed maxima closer to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official observations from the German Weather Service will refine resolution criteria before market settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题