Latest forecasts from Meteo-France and global models show Paris under a stable westerly flow with mostly cloudy skies and limited insolation on August 21, 2026, supporting afternoon maxima clustered around 23–24°C. These conditions reflect a typical late-summer Atlantic regime that suppresses stronger heating while preventing significant cooling, producing the tight 44.5%–36.5% market split between those two outcomes. Early-day observations near 18°C and modest dew points around 13–14°C align with ensemble guidance indicating only modest diurnal rise, with any brief clearing or showers introducing small upside or downside variance. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations, with updates from the next model cycles likely to refine the narrow gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日巴黎气温最高？
8月21日巴黎气温最高？
23°C 44%
24°C 37%
22°C 12%
25°C 8%
最新
$69,056 交易量
最新
$69,056 交易量
2026-08-21
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
12%
23°C
44%
24°C
37%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 44%
24°C 37%
22°C 12%
25°C 8%
最新
$69,056 交易量
最新
$69,056 交易量
2026-08-21
20°C or below
$14,350 交易量
1%
21°C
$6,797 交易量
1%
22°C
$4,445 交易量
12%
23°C
$10,721 交易量
44%
24°C
$5,408 交易量
37%
25°C
$6,486 交易量
8%
26°C
$7,931 交易量
1%
27°C
$3,513 交易量
1%
28°C
$2,787 交易量
<1%
29°C
$4,846 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,263 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from Meteo-France and global models show Paris under a stable westerly flow with mostly cloudy skies and limited insolation on August 21, 2026, supporting afternoon maxima clustered around 23–24°C. These conditions reflect a typical late-summer Atlantic regime that suppresses stronger heating while preventing significant cooling, producing the tight 44.5%–36.5% market split between those two outcomes. Early-day observations near 18°C and modest dew points around 13–14°C align with ensemble guidance indicating only modest diurnal rise, with any brief clearing or showers introducing small upside or downside variance. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations, with updates from the next model cycles likely to refine the narrow gap.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$69,056结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from Meteo-France and global models show Paris under a stable westerly flow with mostly cloudy skies and limited insolation on August 21, 2026, supporting afternoon maxima clustered around 23–24°C. These conditions reflect a typical late-summer Atlantic regime that suppresses stronger heating while preventing significant cooling, producing the tight 44.5%–36.5% market split between those two outcomes. Early-day observations near 18°C and modest dew points around 13–14°C align with ensemble guidance indicating only modest diurnal rise, with any brief clearing or showers introducing small upside or downside variance. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations, with updates from the next model cycles likely to refine the narrow gap.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$69,056结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETLatest forecasts from Meteo-France and global models show Paris under a stable westerly flow with mostly cloudy skies and limited insolation on August 21, 2026, supporting afternoon maxima clustered around 23–24°C. These conditions reflect a typical late-summer Atlantic regime that suppresses stronger heating while preventing significant cooling, producing the tight 44.5%–36.5% market split between those two outcomes. Early-day observations near 18°C and modest dew points around 13–14°C align with ensemble guidance indicating only modest diurnal rise, with any brief clearing or showers introducing small upside or downside variance. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations, with updates from the next model cycles likely to refine the narrow gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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