Current forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 22 will likely fall between 19–23°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by Bosphorus sea breezes and urban heat retention. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 22–23°C because overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could dip toward historical August averages of 20–21°C, while light northerly winds may limit further drops. Model spread arises from variations in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat island effects, with no major synoptic systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Fresh observational data and updated runs will refine exact thresholds for market settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度?
18°C or below 80%
28°C or higher 76%
22°C 45%
21°C 43%
18°C or below
80%
19°C
39%
20°C
42%
21°C
43%
22°C
45%
23°C
45%
24°C
43%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
76%
18°C or below 80%
28°C or higher 76%
22°C 45%
21°C 43%
18°C or below
80%
19°C
39%
20°C
42%
21°C
43%
22°C
45%
23°C
45%
24°C
43%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 22 will likely fall between 19–23°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by Bosphorus sea breezes and urban heat retention. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 22–23°C because overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could dip toward historical August averages of 20–21°C, while light northerly winds may limit further drops. Model spread arises from variations in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat island effects, with no major synoptic systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Fresh observational data and updated runs will refine exact thresholds for market settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题