Forecast consensus from agencies like the Met Office and Turkish meteorological services centers overnight lows in Istanbul on August 21 around 21–23°C under persistent high pressure, light northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions produce modest temperature drops after sunset compared with clearer nights, aligning with historical August minima near 20°C. Subtle model differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind strength explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C, while lower outcomes require stronger cooling not currently supported by observations. Updated model runs and real-time station data near resolution time will refine the final recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于伊斯坦布尔8月21日的最低温度？
伊斯坦布尔8月21日的最低温度？
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
17°C or below 35%
20°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
17°C or below
35%
18°C
59%
19°C
59%
20°C
27%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
17°C or below 35%
20°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
17°C or below
$109 交易量
35%
18°C
$173 交易量
59%
19°C
$123 交易量
59%
20°C
$177 交易量
27%
21°C
$16 交易量
40%
22°C
$27 交易量
40%
23°C
$10 交易量
40%
24°C
$227 交易量
1%
25°C
$435 交易量
<1%
26°C
$937 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$357 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies like the Met Office and Turkish meteorological services centers overnight lows in Istanbul on August 21 around 21–23°C under persistent high pressure, light northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions produce modest temperature drops after sunset compared with clearer nights, aligning with historical August minima near 20°C. Subtle model differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind strength explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C, while lower outcomes require stronger cooling not currently supported by observations. Updated model runs and real-time station data near resolution time will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,591结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies like the Met Office and Turkish meteorological services centers overnight lows in Istanbul on August 21 around 21–23°C under persistent high pressure, light northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions produce modest temperature drops after sunset compared with clearer nights, aligning with historical August minima near 20°C. Subtle model differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind strength explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C, while lower outcomes require stronger cooling not currently supported by observations. Updated model runs and real-time station data near resolution time will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,591结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from agencies like the Met Office and Turkish meteorological services centers overnight lows in Istanbul on August 21 around 21–23°C under persistent high pressure, light northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions produce modest temperature drops after sunset compared with clearer nights, aligning with historical August minima near 20°C. Subtle model differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind strength explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C, while lower outcomes require stronger cooling not currently supported by observations. Updated model runs and real-time station data near resolution time will refine the final recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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