Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a daily maximum of 30–32°C on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow an exceptionally hot early August that included a record 36.8°C peak, but current steering patterns and cloud cover favor moderation. With probabilities tightly clustered around the 30–32°C buckets, traders are weighting the consensus range against historical August variability and the uncertainty in precise timing of any convective activity. Upcoming model runs and HKO updates will clarify whether increased insolation or additional moisture shifts the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日香港气温最高？
8月23日香港气温最高？
31°C 32%
30°C 31%
32°C 28%
29°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
31%
31°C
32%
32°C
28%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 32%
30°C 31%
32°C 28%
29°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
25°C or below
$187 交易量
<1%
26°C
$112 交易量
1%
27°C
$107 交易量
1%
28°C
$167 交易量
4%
29°C
$156 交易量
7%
30°C
$231 交易量
31%
31°C
$209 交易量
32%
32°C
$217 交易量
28%
33°C
$77 交易量
5%
34°C
$81 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$192 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a daily maximum of 30–32°C on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow an exceptionally hot early August that included a record 36.8°C peak, but current steering patterns and cloud cover favor moderation. With probabilities tightly clustered around the 30–32°C buckets, traders are weighting the consensus range against historical August variability and the uncertainty in precise timing of any convective activity. Upcoming model runs and HKO updates will clarify whether increased insolation or additional moisture shifts the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,734结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a daily maximum of 30–32°C on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow an exceptionally hot early August that included a record 36.8°C peak, but current steering patterns and cloud cover favor moderation. With probabilities tightly clustered around the 30–32°C buckets, traders are weighting the consensus range against historical August variability and the uncertainty in precise timing of any convective activity. Upcoming model runs and HKO updates will clarify whether increased insolation or additional moisture shifts the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,734结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a daily maximum of 30–32°C on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow an exceptionally hot early August that included a record 36.8°C peak, but current steering patterns and cloud cover favor moderation. With probabilities tightly clustered around the 30–32°C buckets, traders are weighting the consensus range against historical August variability and the uncertainty in precise timing of any convective activity. Upcoming model runs and HKO updates will clarify whether increased insolation or additional moisture shifts the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题