Traders assign nearly identical 26% probabilities to highs of 22–26°C for São Paulo on August 23 because official forecasts converge on this narrow band during Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological averages sit near 23–25°C. Time-and-date guidance currently projects a 22°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, while broader August outlooks from AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place daily highs between 20–25°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Key differentiators include minor disagreements among regional models on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, plus the precise location of the official measurement station. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal passage expected, fresh model runs or observational updates over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the distribution around the most probable 23–24°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月23日圣保罗的最高温度？
24°C 44%
23°C 27%
25°C 19%
22°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
27%
24°C
44%
25°C
19%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 44%
23°C 27%
25°C 19%
22°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
20°C or below
$4 交易量
1%
21°C
$24 交易量
3%
22°C
$12 交易量
11%
23°C
$33 交易量
27%
24°C
$4 交易量
44%
25°C
$30 交易量
19%
26°C
$14 交易量
8%
27°C
$4 交易量
4%
28°C
$58 交易量
3%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C or higher
$16 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly identical 26% probabilities to highs of 22–26°C for São Paulo on August 23 because official forecasts converge on this narrow band during Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological averages sit near 23–25°C. Time-and-date guidance currently projects a 22°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, while broader August outlooks from AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place daily highs between 20–25°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Key differentiators include minor disagreements among regional models on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, plus the precise location of the official measurement station. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal passage expected, fresh model runs or observational updates over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the distribution around the most probable 23–24°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
交易量
$205结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly identical 26% probabilities to highs of 22–26°C for São Paulo on August 23 because official forecasts converge on this narrow band during Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological averages sit near 23–25°C. Time-and-date guidance currently projects a 22°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, while broader August outlooks from AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place daily highs between 20–25°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Key differentiators include minor disagreements among regional models on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, plus the precise location of the official measurement station. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal passage expected, fresh model runs or observational updates over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the distribution around the most probable 23–24°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$205结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETTraders assign nearly identical 26% probabilities to highs of 22–26°C for São Paulo on August 23 because official forecasts converge on this narrow band during Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological averages sit near 23–25°C. Time-and-date guidance currently projects a 22°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, while broader August outlooks from AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place daily highs between 20–25°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Key differentiators include minor disagreements among regional models on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, plus the precise location of the official measurement station. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal passage expected, fresh model runs or observational updates over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the distribution around the most probable 23–24°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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