Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to mostly fine conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over Wellington on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the seasonal average of 13–15 °C. A preceding period of southerly flow has kept temperatures suppressed, but high-pressure building in the Tasman Sea is expected to moderate the airmass and reduce shower activity, limiting upside to 16 °C or higher. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima rarely exceed 16 °C without strong northerly advection, which current model consensus does not favor. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 14–15 °C therefore reflects both the expected steering pattern and the narrow range of outcomes typical for this date under near-average winter conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月24日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 54%
14°C 25%
16°C 16%
17°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
25%
15°C
54%
16°C
16%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 54%
14°C 25%
16°C 16%
17°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C or below
$37 交易量
<1%
10°C
$79 交易量
<1%
11°C
$37 交易量
<1%
12°C
$104 交易量
<1%
13°C
$106 交易量
3%
14°C
$213 交易量
25%
15°C
$141 交易量
54%
16°C
$208 交易量
16%
17°C
$181 交易量
3%
18°C
$5 交易量
3%
19°C or higher
$37 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to mostly fine conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over Wellington on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the seasonal average of 13–15 °C. A preceding period of southerly flow has kept temperatures suppressed, but high-pressure building in the Tasman Sea is expected to moderate the airmass and reduce shower activity, limiting upside to 16 °C or higher. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima rarely exceed 16 °C without strong northerly advection, which current model consensus does not favor. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 14–15 °C therefore reflects both the expected steering pattern and the narrow range of outcomes typical for this date under near-average winter conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,103结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to mostly fine conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over Wellington on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the seasonal average of 13–15 °C. A preceding period of southerly flow has kept temperatures suppressed, but high-pressure building in the Tasman Sea is expected to moderate the airmass and reduce shower activity, limiting upside to 16 °C or higher. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima rarely exceed 16 °C without strong northerly advection, which current model consensus does not favor. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 14–15 °C therefore reflects both the expected steering pattern and the narrow range of outcomes typical for this date under near-average winter conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,103结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to mostly fine conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over Wellington on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the seasonal average of 13–15 °C. A preceding period of southerly flow has kept temperatures suppressed, but high-pressure building in the Tasman Sea is expected to moderate the airmass and reduce shower activity, limiting upside to 16 °C or higher. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima rarely exceed 16 °C without strong northerly advection, which current model consensus does not favor. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 14–15 °C therefore reflects both the expected steering pattern and the narrow range of outcomes typical for this date under near-average winter conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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