Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate improving conditions over Shanghai with reduced cloud cover and precipitation chances on August 24 after earlier rain, supporting daytime maxima near 32°C amid typical late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns. Light southeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60-80% are expected to allow standard radiative heating without significant suppression, consistent with August climatological highs near 31°C. Model consensus places the most probable peak in the 31-33°C range, though minor variations in timing or localized effects could shift the exact maximum, with updated forecasts from agencies like NOAA or ECMWF due before resolution. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日上海气温最高？
8月24日上海气温最高？
32°C 51%
31°C 32%
30°C 11%
33°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
32%
32°C
51%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 51%
31°C 32%
30°C 11%
33°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
25°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$5 交易量
5%
30°C
$5 交易量
11%
31°C
$71 交易量
32%
32°C
$533 交易量
51%
33°C
$11 交易量
9%
34°C
$21 交易量
5%
35°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate improving conditions over Shanghai with reduced cloud cover and precipitation chances on August 24 after earlier rain, supporting daytime maxima near 32°C amid typical late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns. Light southeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60-80% are expected to allow standard radiative heating without significant suppression, consistent with August climatological highs near 31°C. Model consensus places the most probable peak in the 31-33°C range, though minor variations in timing or localized effects could shift the exact maximum, with updated forecasts from agencies like NOAA or ECMWF due before resolution. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$603结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate improving conditions over Shanghai with reduced cloud cover and precipitation chances on August 24 after earlier rain, supporting daytime maxima near 32°C amid typical late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns. Light southeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60-80% are expected to allow standard radiative heating without significant suppression, consistent with August climatological highs near 31°C. Model consensus places the most probable peak in the 31-33°C range, though minor variations in timing or localized effects could shift the exact maximum, with updated forecasts from agencies like NOAA or ECMWF due before resolution. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$603结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate improving conditions over Shanghai with reduced cloud cover and precipitation chances on August 24 after earlier rain, supporting daytime maxima near 32°C amid typical late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns. Light southeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60-80% are expected to allow standard radiative heating without significant suppression, consistent with August climatological highs near 31°C. Model consensus places the most probable peak in the 31-33°C range, though minor variations in timing or localized effects could shift the exact maximum, with updated forecasts from agencies like NOAA or ECMWF due before resolution. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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