Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight increased showers and thunderstorms for August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to limit solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31°C amid high humidity and southwest winds. Current conditions on August 22 show localized peaks of 32–34°C under partly sunny skies, but model consensus points to greater cloud cover and convective rain by Monday, differentiating 31°C from cooler 30°C outcomes through reduced insolation. Seasonal El Niño influences support above-normal August warmth overall, yet short-term precipitation dynamics create tight market-implied odds between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings at the Observatory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日香港气温最高？
8月24日香港气温最高？
31°C 33%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
29%
31°C
33%
32°C
14%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
3%
31°C 33%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
24°C or below
$158 交易量
<1%
25°C
$58 交易量
<1%
26°C
$58 交易量
1%
27°C
$289 交易量
1%
28°C
$48 交易量
5%
29°C
$138 交易量
17%
30°C
$183 交易量
29%
31°C
$74 交易量
33%
32°C
$83 交易量
14%
33°C
$148 交易量
3%
34°C or higher
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight increased showers and thunderstorms for August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to limit solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31°C amid high humidity and southwest winds. Current conditions on August 22 show localized peaks of 32–34°C under partly sunny skies, but model consensus points to greater cloud cover and convective rain by Monday, differentiating 31°C from cooler 30°C outcomes through reduced insolation. Seasonal El Niño influences support above-normal August warmth overall, yet short-term precipitation dynamics create tight market-implied odds between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings at the Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,236结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight increased showers and thunderstorms for August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to limit solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31°C amid high humidity and southwest winds. Current conditions on August 22 show localized peaks of 32–34°C under partly sunny skies, but model consensus points to greater cloud cover and convective rain by Monday, differentiating 31°C from cooler 30°C outcomes through reduced insolation. Seasonal El Niño influences support above-normal August warmth overall, yet short-term precipitation dynamics create tight market-implied odds between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings at the Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,236结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight increased showers and thunderstorms for August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to limit solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31°C amid high humidity and southwest winds. Current conditions on August 22 show localized peaks of 32–34°C under partly sunny skies, but model consensus points to greater cloud cover and convective rain by Monday, differentiating 31°C from cooler 30°C outcomes through reduced insolation. Seasonal El Niño influences support above-normal August warmth overall, yet short-term precipitation dynamics create tight market-implied odds between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings at the Observatory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题