**Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C). Cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of scattered afternoon showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside risk above 32°C, explaining the combined ~17% probability on 32°C or higher. Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Traders are weighting official KMA and global model consensus heavily, with limited volatility expected until the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月24日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
31°C 38%
30°C 27%
32°C 15%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
27%
31°C
38%
32°C
15%
33°C or higher
4%
31°C 38%
30°C 27%
32°C 15%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C or below
$266 交易量
1%
24°C
$276 交易量
1%
25°C
$121 交易量
<1%
26°C
$11 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$20 交易量
5%
29°C
$31 交易量
10%
30°C
$46 交易量
27%
31°C
$109 交易量
38%
32°C
$37 交易量
15%
33°C or higher
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C).
Cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of scattered afternoon showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside risk above 32°C, explaining the combined ~17% probability on 32°C or higher. Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Traders are weighting official KMA and global model consensus heavily, with limited volatility expected until the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$922结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C).
Cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of scattered afternoon showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside risk above 32°C, explaining the combined ~17% probability on 32°C or higher. Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Traders are weighting official KMA and global model consensus heavily, with limited volatility expected until the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$922结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C). Cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of scattered afternoon showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside risk above 32°C, explaining the combined ~17% probability on 32°C or higher. Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Traders are weighting official KMA and global model consensus heavily, with limited volatility expected until the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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