Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently favor overnight lows of 25–26°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 24, reflecting the dominant influence of the North Pacific High that suppresses strong radiative cooling while maintaining elevated humidity and light winds. Subtle differences between 25°C and 26°C hinge on expected cloud cover and any localized showers, which could limit temperature drops by trapping heat or enhance them under clearer skies; historical August climatology shows typical minima near 22–24°C, but this season’s persistent warmth has kept recent observations 1–3°C higher. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are closely watching updated KMA guidance and high-resolution model runs for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could tip the lowest reading between these two leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
26°C 43%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 12%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
12%
25°C
34%
26°C
43%
27°C
13%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 43%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 12%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
12%
25°C
34%
26°C
43%
27°C
13%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently favor overnight lows of 25–26°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 24, reflecting the dominant influence of the North Pacific High that suppresses strong radiative cooling while maintaining elevated humidity and light winds. Subtle differences between 25°C and 26°C hinge on expected cloud cover and any localized showers, which could limit temperature drops by trapping heat or enhance them under clearer skies; historical August climatology shows typical minima near 22–24°C, but this season’s persistent warmth has kept recent observations 1–3°C higher. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are closely watching updated KMA guidance and high-resolution model runs for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could tip the lowest reading between these two leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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