Forecast consensus from meteorological models and local observations supports near-certainty of a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent summer warmth, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation that allows strong solar heating under typical August climatology for the region. Official projections place the high near 32–33°C amid moderate humidity and light northeasterly winds, consistent with seasonal baselines where daily maxima often climb into the low 30s. Trader positioning reflects this model agreement and current observations already approaching those thresholds. Realistic challenges include rapid increases in cloud cover or convective rainfall that could cap heating below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日郑州气温最高?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,323 交易量
$7,323 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,323 交易量
$7,323 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Forecast consensus from meteorological models and local observations supports near-certainty of a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent summer warmth, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation that allows strong solar heating under typical August climatology for the region. Official projections place the high near 32–33°C amid moderate humidity and light northeasterly winds, consistent with seasonal baselines where daily maxima often climb into the low 30s. Trader positioning reflects this model agreement and current observations already approaching those thresholds. Realistic challenges include rapid increases in cloud cover or convective rainfall that could cap heating below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题